The Syrian Assad regime has been beset with demonstrations in its cities over the past few weeks, and has been criticized in the international press for their harsh repression of its citizens who take their grievances to the streets. My gut tells me that it's no coincidence that the demonstration against Israel that actually turned deadly happened where Israel meets Syria. One of the better ways to distract your population from problems at home is to either create or re-ignite a foreign conflict, especially one with long-standing grievances. The Syrians have been smarting over the loss of the Golan for a generation, and it probably wouldn't be hard to get a population that's already in the mood for a fight to take a poke at Israel.
With President Obama pretty much prostrating himself before the Muslim world, Israel knows it stands alone when the countries around it decide to have another go at pushing them into the sea. Even the long peace between it and Egypt has been jeopardized by the removal of the Mubarak regime.
I expect that Syria will play this incident up with its subjects and neighbors, and will be appealing to its
Oh, and by the way, May and June are the end of the spring campaigning season in that part of the world. If I was Netanyahu, I'd be quietly getting my reserves ready and finding out just who on the world stage will be in his corner when the Arabs come out swinging.
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Maybe this End of the World on May 21 has something to it after all...
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